3 Nov · 08:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1425
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kuzmenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1433
FormLLLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H44-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.