3 Nov · 09:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1489
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Ziakun
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1425
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
🌟Ziakun goes over total as favourite 62% (108)
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H59-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (59-25)