4 Nov · 06:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1531
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Fashchevskyi
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1507
FormWLLWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Maltsev🌟Fashchevskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (145)
Fair odds · Fashchevskyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H38-40
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.