4 Nov · 07:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇺🇦Jan Rochowanski
ELO 1528
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Adam
LA
🇺🇦Lukas Adam
ELO 1568
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rochowanski🌟Adam rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (108)
Fair odds · Adam
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.