4 Nov · 07:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇺🇦Lukas Svoboda
ELO 1581
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Svoboda
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1555
FormLLLWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pisa
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H11-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.