4 Nov · 06:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MD
🇺🇦Mykhailo Dunas
ELO 1577
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dunas
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1562
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
🌟Kozoriz stays under total as underdog 67% (92)
Fair odds · Dunas
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~72 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H0-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.