4 Nov · 07:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1525
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kozoriz
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1562
FormLWLWW
46%
54%
🌟Kozoriz stays under total as favourite 71% (119)
Fair odds · Kozoriz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H13-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.