5 Nov · 07:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Mykhailo Senyk
ELO 1282
FormLWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Martynenko
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Martynenko
ELO 1343
FormWLLLL
44%
56%
🌟Martynenko stays under total as favourite 63% (59)
Fair odds · Martynenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)