5 Nov · 06:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1352
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Melnichuk
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1389
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Melnichuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H10-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.