5 Nov · 09:25 MEZLow · Coin Flip
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1352
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Shcherbak
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Martynenko
ELO 1343
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Martynenko stays under total as underdog 66% (71)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H10-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.