5 Nov · 11:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sydorchuk
ELO 1302
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Melnichuk
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1389
FormWLWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Melnichuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H17-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-11)