5 Nov · 11:25 MEZLow · Coin Flip
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bolnyh
ELO 1330
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Martynenko
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Martynenko
ELO 1343
FormWLLLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Bolnyh🌟Martynenko stays under total as favourite 63% (59)
Fair odds · Martynenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.