5 Nov · 13:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1529
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Solomko
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1479
FormWWWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H24-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-18)