5 Nov · 13:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Martynenko
ELO 1343
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Martynenko
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sydorchuk
ELO 1302
FormLWLWW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sydorchuk🌟Martynenko stays under total as favourite 63% (59)
Fair odds · Martynenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.