5 Nov · 13:30 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1433
FormWLLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Lyman
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1341
FormLWLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Lyman
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H73-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (73-15)