5 Nov · 08:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1529
FormLLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Solomko
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1443
FormLLWWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H42-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-12)