5 Nov · 09:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1484
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1529
FormLLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H87-53
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (87-53)