5 Nov · 11:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1423
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kurylenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1485
FormWLWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H91-56
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (91-56)