5 Nov · 07:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1466
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1529
FormLLWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H55-54
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-54)