5 Nov · 09:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇺🇦Mykhailo Senyk
ELO 1282
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sydorchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sydorchuk
ELO 1302
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sydorchuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H23-49
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.