5 Nov · 08:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MO
🇺🇦Martin Obraz
ELO 1399
FormWWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Plyska
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1482
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
🌟Plyska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (150)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H20-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-10)