5 Nov · 08:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1423
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kuzmenko
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1341
FormLWLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H70-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (70-48)