5 Nov · 10:00 MEZLow · Coin Flip
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1466
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kovalenko
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1479
FormWWWLL
49%
51%
🌟Kovalenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (152)
Fair odds · Kovalenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H5-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.