5 Nov · 08:05 MEZLow · Coin Flip
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1632
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chaikovskyi
VZ
🇺🇦Vitaliy Zharskiy
ELO 1623
FormWLLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H28-59
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.