5 Nov · 07:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VZ
🇺🇦Vitaliy Zharskiy
ELO 1623
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zharskiy
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1575
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Zharskiy
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H14-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)