5 Nov · 09:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1522
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kocvara
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1600
FormWLLLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Kocvara
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)