5 Nov · 09:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1632
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chaikovskyi
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1575
FormLWLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H62-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (62-26)