5 Nov · 06:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1484
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Osadchyi
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1443
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H29-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.