5 Nov · 07:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1352
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Shcherbak
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sydorchuk
ELO 1302
FormLWLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H29-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-5)