5 Nov · 09:30 MEZLow · Coin Flip
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1423
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lyman
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1433
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Lyman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H22-44
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.