5 Nov · 07:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Sideltsev
ELO 1583
FormLLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sideltsev
PS
🇺🇦Pavlo Shulhachyk
ELO 1508
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
🌟Shulhachyk stays under total as underdog 62% (66)
Fair odds · Sideltsev
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H18-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-16)