5 Nov · 08:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Martynenko
ELO 1343
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Melnichuk
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1389
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Martynenko stays under total as underdog 66% (71)
Fair odds · Melnichuk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)