5 Nov · 06:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bolnyh
ELO 1330
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bolnyh
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sydorchuk
ELO 1302
FormLWLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Bolnyh
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H23-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.