5 Nov · 10:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1352
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Shcherbak
MS
🇺🇦Mykhailo Senyk
ELO 1282
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H32-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-7)