5 Nov · 12:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1479
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kovalenko
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1443
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
🌟Kovalenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (152)
Fair odds · Kovalenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H21-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.