5 Nov · 07:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1600
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dobias
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1657
FormWWWLL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kocvara🌟Dobias rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (352)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H11-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-10)