5 Nov · 12:00 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1454
FormWLLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Holub
PM
🇺🇦Patrik Muller
ELO 1291
FormLWLLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~73 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H18-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-9)