5 Nov · 07:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1522
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kaderabek
OK
🇺🇦Ondrej Kaderabek
ELO 1574
FormWWWLL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pisa
Fair odds · Kaderabek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H13-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)