5 Nov · 09:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1402
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Cmil
MC
🇺🇦Marcel Cmil
ELO 1486
FormWWLLL
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorel🌟Cmil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (157)
Fair odds · Cmil
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)