5 Nov · 10:00 MEZLow · Coin Flip
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1482
FormWWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cmil
MC
🇺🇦Marcel Cmil
ELO 1486
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cmil🌟Cmil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (157)
Fair odds · Cmil
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.