5 Nov · 08:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1402
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Plyska
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1482
FormWWWLW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorel🌟Plyska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (150)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H40-46
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)