5 Nov · 11:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VH
🇺🇦Vit Herrmann
ELO 1545
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Svitac
MS
🇺🇦Matej Svitac
ELO 1602
FormLWWWL
44%
56%
🌟Herrmann covers set handicap as underdog 63% (147)
Fair odds · Svitac
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)