5 Nov · 08:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VO
🇺🇦Valerii Onykyienko
ELO 1659
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Onykyienko
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Sideltsev
ELO 1583
FormLLWWL
58%
42%
🌟Sideltsev covers set handicap as underdog 68% (104)
Fair odds · Onykyienko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)