5 Nov · 11:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hybl
ELO 1532
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lopata
VL
🇺🇦Vladimir Lopata
ELO 1553
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hybl🌟Lopata rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (58)
Fair odds · Lopata
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.