5 Nov · 12:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hybl
ELO 1532
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Svitac
MS
🇺🇦Matej Svitac
ELO 1602
FormLWWWL
43%
57%
🌟Hybl covers set handicap as underdog 63% (38)
Fair odds · Svitac
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)