5 Nov · 10:50 MEZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1470
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mytsyk
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1511
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
🌟Mytsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (298)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.