5 Nov · 12:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Viktor Kucala
ELO 1376
FormWWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kucala
PM
🇺🇦Patrik Muller
ELO 1291
FormLWLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Kucala
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H1-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)