5 Nov · 23:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Mykhailo Skliar
ELO 1345
FormLLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Peretiatko
AP
🇺🇦Andrii Peretiatko
ELO 1403
FormLLLLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Peretiatko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)