6 Nov · 02:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Khamurda
ELO 1509
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Abalmaz
SA
🇺🇦Spartak Abalmaz
ELO 1525
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Abalmaz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H54-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.