6 Nov · 03:25 MEZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Melashenko
ELO 1565
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Gnoevoy
RG
🇺🇦Roman Gnoevoy
ELO 1578
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Gnoevoy
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H30-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.